The monthly ENSO diagnostic discussion from the U.S. government’s climate prediction center, out today, shows a strengthening La Niña, likely to persist into the spring. That means rain in Bali:
Expected La Niña impacts during December-February include a continuation of above-average precipitation over Indonesia and below-average precipitation over the central and eastern equatorial Pacific. For the contiguous United States, potential impacts include above-average precipitation in the Northern Rockies, the Pacific Northwest, the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys, and parts of the Great Lakes region. Below-average precipitation is expected across the South, particularly in the southwestern and southeastern states.
That said, here it looks like a wet weekend.