Roger Pielke Sr. and I have been having a polite disagreement today over at his blog on how to think about Richard Seager’s paper last month in Science on the risk of future drought in the southwest.
Roger argues Seager’s work is contradicted by a 1997 paper by Trenberth and Hoar arguing for stronger El Ninos in a globally warming world, which would lead to a wetter southwest. I argue that Roger is misusing the Trenberth and Hoar paper and misunderstanding the Seager paper.
That was an excellent thread, John, made mo’ bettah excellent by your elevation to the ‘climate model community’ by a mendacious commenter. Heh.
Best,
D